Israeli League Cup · Tuesday, 4 August 2026

Ironi Kiryat Shmona v Bnei Sakhnin Correct Score Prediction

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

3-1

Bnei Sakhnin

Kick-off: 16:45 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score3-1

Correct score odds15.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultIroni Kiryat Shmona win 1.91BTTSYes 1.80O/UOver 2.5 View oddsFT goals4 goals View oddsWinning marginIroni Kiryat Shmona by 2 goals View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score3-14.5%

Expected goals1.46 – 1.03Ironi Kiryat Shmona / Bnei Sakhnin

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.7%

#21-010.9%

#30-09.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	7.3%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%
1	10.9%	13.7%	6.4%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.9%	9.1%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.3%	4.5%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate4.5%

Model fair odds22.47

Recorded CS odds15.00

Bookmaker implied6.7%

Model-market gap-2.2 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-33.2%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published3 Aug 2026 · 16:05 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 3-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.91View odds

Draw3.10View odds

Away3.50View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.80View odds

Both teams to score — No1.85View odds

Over 2.5—View odds

Under 2.5—View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Ironi Kiryat Shmona versus Bnei Sakhnin to finish 3-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 3-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy