UEFA Champions League Qualification · Tuesday, 4 August 2026

Mjallby v Slovan Bratislava Correct Score Prediction

Mjallby

2-2

Slovan Bratislava

Kick-off: 16:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-2

Correct score odds13.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.30BTTSYes 1.73O/UOver 2.5 1.83FT goals4 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-25.3%

Expected goals1.53 – 1.15Mjallby / Slovan Bratislava

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.0%

#21-09.6%

#32-19.2%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	7.0%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
1	9.6%	13.0%	6.9%	2.7%	0.8%
2	8.0%	9.2%	5.3%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.1%	4.7%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.6%	1.8%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate5.3%

Model fair odds18.85

Recorded CS odds13.00

Bookmaker implied7.7%

Model-market gap-2.4 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-31.0%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published3 Aug 2026 · 16:05 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-2

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.00View odds

Draw3.30View odds

Away3.30View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.73View odds

Both teams to score — No2.00View odds

Over 2.51.83View odds

Under 2.51.91View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Mjallby versus Slovan Bratislava to finish 2-2. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-2

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy