Argentinian Primera Nacional · Wednesday, 5 August 2026

Almagro v Gimnasia y Tiro Correct Score Prediction

Almagro

0-0

Gimnasia y Tiro

Kick-off: 18:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score0-0

Correct score odds4.80

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.50BTTSNo 1.57O/UUnder 2.5 1.33FT goals0 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score0-2Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score0-017.0%

Expected goals0.97 – 0.95Almagro / Gimnasia y Tiro

Most likely scorelines

#10-017.0%

#21-115.8%

#31-011.9%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	17.0%	11.7%	6.6%	2.1%	0.5%
1	11.9%	15.8%	6.4%	2.0%	0.5%
2	6.9%	6.5%	3.1%	1.0%	0.2%
3	2.2%	2.1%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate17.0%

Model fair odds5.87

Recorded CS odds4.80

Bookmaker implied20.8%

Model-market gap-3.8 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-18.2%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published4 Aug 2026 · 19:13 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 0-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.80View odds

Draw2.50View odds

Away2.88View odds

Both teams to score — Yes2.30View odds

Both teams to score — No1.57View odds

Over 2.53.10View odds

Under 2.51.33View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Almagro versus Gimnasia y Tiro to finish 0-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 0-2, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 0-0

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy