UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification · Wednesday, 5 August 2026

Brann v Apollon Limassol Correct Score Prediction

Brann

2-2

Apollon Limassol

Kick-off: 17:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-2

Correct score odds13.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.70BTTSYes 1.75O/UOver 2.5 1.73FT goals4 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score0-1Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-24.9%

Expected goals1.83 – 1.00Brann / Apollon Limassol

Most likely scorelines

#11-111.8%

#22-09.9%

#32-19.9%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	4.9%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%
1	9.9%	11.8%	5.4%	1.8%	0.4%
2	9.9%	9.9%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
3	6.0%	6.0%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%
4	2.8%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate4.9%

Model fair odds20.30

Recorded CS odds13.00

Bookmaker implied7.7%

Model-market gap-2.8 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-36.0%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published4 Aug 2026 · 19:13 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-2

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.67View odds

Draw3.70View odds

Away4.75View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.75View odds

Both teams to score — No2.00View odds

Over 2.51.73View odds

Under 2.52.00View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Brann versus Apollon Limassol to finish 2-2. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 0-1, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 2-2

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy