Polish FA Cup · Wednesday, 5 August 2026

Warta Poznan v Resovia Rzeszow Correct Score Prediction

Warta Poznan

2-2

Resovia Rzeszow

Kick-off: 15:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-2

Correct score odds13.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.75BTTSYes 1.65O/UOver 2.5 1.60FT goals4 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score0-1Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-25.2%

Expected goals1.96 – 1.05Warta Poznan / Resovia Rzeszow

Most likely scorelines

#11-111.1%

#22-19.9%

#32-09.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	4.2%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
1	8.7%	11.1%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.5%	9.9%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	6.2%	6.5%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%
4	3.0%	3.2%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate5.2%

Model fair odds19.20

Recorded CS odds13.00

Bookmaker implied7.7%

Model-market gap-2.5 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-32.3%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published4 Aug 2026 · 19:13 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-2

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.57View odds

Draw3.75View odds

Away4.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.65View odds

Both teams to score — No2.10View odds

Over 2.51.60View odds

Under 2.52.20View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Warta Poznan versus Resovia Rzeszow to finish 2-2. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 0-1, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 2-2

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy