Ireland First Division · Friday, 7 August 2026

Cobh Ramblers v Treaty Utd Correct Score Prediction

Cobh Ramblers

1-1

Treaty Utd

Kick-off: 18:45 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.30BTTSYes 1.65O/UUnder 2.5 1.91FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score2-0Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-112.8%

Expected goals1.53 – 1.23Cobh Ramblers / Treaty Utd

Most likely scorelines

#11-112.8%

#22-19.1%

#31-08.8%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	6.9%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%
1	8.8%	12.8%	7.3%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.4%	9.1%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%
3	3.8%	4.7%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.5%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate12.8%

Model fair odds7.82

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-3.9 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-23.3%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published6 Aug 2026 · 19:20 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.05View odds

Draw3.30View odds

Away3.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.65View odds

Both teams to score — No2.10View odds

Over 2.51.75View odds

Under 2.51.91View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Cobh Ramblers versus Treaty Utd to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 2-0, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy