William Hill Scottish Championship · Friday, 7 August 2026

Partick Thistle v Livingston Correct Score Prediction

Partick Thistle

1-1

Livingston

Kick-off: 18:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds5.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.00BTTSYes 1.70O/UUnder 2.5 1.80FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score2-0Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.5%

Expected goals1.39 – 1.20Partick Thistle / Livingston

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.5%

#20-09.5%

#32-18.7%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	7.0%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
1	8.4%	14.5%	7.5%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.2%	8.7%	5.2%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.3%	4.0%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.5%

Model fair odds6.90

Recorded CS odds5.50

Bookmaker implied18.2%

Model-market gap-3.7 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-20.3%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published6 Aug 2026 · 19:20 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.30View odds

Draw3.00View odds

Away3.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.70View odds

Both teams to score — No2.05View odds

Over 2.51.95View odds

Under 2.51.80View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Partick Thistle versus Livingston to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 2-0, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy