Romanian Liga 1 · Friday, 7 August 2026

UTA Arad v Rapid Bucuresti Correct Score Prediction

UTA Arad

1-1

Rapid Bucuresti

Kick-off: 18:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds5.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.90BTTSYes 1.75O/UUnder 2.5 1.70FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score0-0Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.9%

Expected goals1.27 – 1.22UTA Arad / Rapid Bucuresti

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.9%

#20-010.3%

#31-08.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	8.1%	6.1%	2.5%	0.8%
1	8.5%	14.9%	7.8%	3.2%	1.0%
2	6.7%	8.2%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.8%	3.5%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.9%

Model fair odds6.72

Recorded CS odds5.50

Bookmaker implied18.2%

Model-market gap-3.3 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-18.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published6 Aug 2026 · 19:20 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.50View odds

Draw2.90View odds

Away2.75View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.75View odds

Both teams to score — No1.95View odds

Over 2.52.05View odds

Under 2.51.70View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects UTA Arad versus Rapid Bucuresti to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 0-0, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy