Polish Ekstraklasa · Friday, 7 August 2026

Wisla Krakow v Wisla Plock Correct Score Prediction

Wisla Krakow

1-1

Wisla Plock

Kick-off: 18:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.40BTTSYes 1.83O/UUnder 2.5 1.83FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score2-1Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-112.8%

Expected goals1.61 – 1.02Wisla Krakow / Wisla Plock

Most likely scorelines

#11-112.8%

#21-010.6%

#32-19.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	6.4%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%
1	10.6%	12.8%	6.1%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.3%	9.5%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
3	5.0%	5.1%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.0%	2.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate12.8%

Model fair odds7.82

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-2.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-16.9%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published6 Aug 2026 · 19:20 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.83View odds

Draw3.40View odds

Away4.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.83View odds

Both teams to score — No1.91View odds

Over 2.51.91View odds

Under 2.51.83View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Wisla Krakow versus Wisla Plock to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 2-1, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy