Prediction summary
Correct score0-0
Correct score odds8.50
ConfidenceMedium
Predicted markets
ResultDraw 3.10↗BTTSNo 1.95↗O/UUnder 2.5 1.73↗FT goals0 goals View odds↗Winning marginDraw View odds↗
Final score2-0Result status: lost
William Hill Scottish League One · Saturday, 8 August 2026
East Fife v Cove Rangers Correct Score Prediction
Kick-off:
MODEL ESTIMATE
CSM-1.0Score probability model
Published score0-09.3%
Expected goals1.41 – 1.12East Fife / Cove Rangers
Most likely scorelines
#11-113.9%
#21-09.9%
#30-09.3%
View score probability matrix
| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 13.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
PRICE COMPARISON
CSVI-1.0Model vs market price
Model estimate9.3%
Model fair odds10.71
Recorded CS odds8.50
Bookmaker implied11.8%
Model-market gap-2.4 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-20.6%
This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.
Prediction record
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 0-0
Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable
Available market odds
Why this score?
The model projects East Fife versus Cove Rangers to finish 0-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 2-0, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.
→ 0-0
How to interpret this prediction
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy