English National League · Saturday, 8 August 2026

Forest Green v FC Halifax Correct Score Prediction

Forest Green

2-2

FC Halifax

Kick-off: 14:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-2

Correct score odds13.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.80BTTSYes 1.73O/UOver 2.5 1.70FT goals4 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score3-2Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-24.9%

Expected goals1.87 – 0.99Forest Green / FC Halifax

Most likely scorelines

#11-111.6%

#22-010.0%

#32-19.9%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	4.6%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
1	9.6%	11.6%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.0%	9.9%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
3	6.2%	6.2%	3.1%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.9%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate4.9%

Model fair odds20.29

Recorded CS odds13.00

Bookmaker implied7.7%

Model-market gap-2.8 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-35.9%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published7 Aug 2026 · 18:23 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-2

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.62View odds

Draw3.80View odds

Away5.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.73View odds

Both teams to score — No2.05View odds

Over 2.51.70View odds

Under 2.52.05View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Forest Green versus FC Halifax to finish 2-2. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 3-2, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 2-2

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy