French Ligue 2 · Saturday, 8 August 2026

Montpellier v Dijon Correct Score Prediction

Montpellier

1-1

Dijon

Kick-off: 18:45 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.30BTTSYes 1.95O/UUnder 2.5 1.65FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score1-1Result status: won

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-113.1%

Expected goals1.44 – 0.98Montpellier / Dijon

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.1%

#21-012.3%

#30-09.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	8.2%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%
1	12.3%	13.1%	6.1%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.2%	9.0%	4.4%	1.4%	0.4%
3	4.4%	4.3%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.6%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate13.1%

Model fair odds7.65

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-3.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-21.5%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published7 Aug 2026 · 18:23 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.95View odds

Draw3.30View odds

Away3.60View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.95View odds

Both teams to score — No1.80View odds

Over 2.52.15View odds

Under 2.51.65View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Montpellier versus Dijon to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 1-1, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy