William Hill Scottish Championship · Saturday, 8 August 2026

Queen's Park v Raith Rovers Correct Score Prediction

Queen's Park

1-1

Raith Rovers

Kick-off: 14:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.20BTTSYes 1.75O/UUnder 2.5 1.75FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score1-2Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.0%

Expected goals1.04 – 1.53Queen's Park / Raith Rovers

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.0%

#20-19.9%

#30-09.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	9.9%	9.0%	4.6%	1.8%
1	6.1%	14.0%	9.3%	4.8%	1.8%
2	4.1%	6.3%	4.8%	2.5%	0.9%
3	1.4%	2.2%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.0%

Model fair odds7.12

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-2.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-15.8%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published7 Aug 2026 · 18:23 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home3.75View odds

Draw3.20View odds

Away1.95View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.75View odds

Both teams to score — No1.95View odds

Over 2.51.95View odds

Under 2.51.75View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Queen's Park versus Raith Rovers to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 1-2, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy