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Czech First League · Saturday, 8 August 2026

Zlin v Bohemians 1905 Correct Score Prediction

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MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score1-114.0%
Expected goals1.27 – 1.22Zlin / Bohemians 1905

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.0%
#20-09.4%
#31-09.4%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
09.4%9.0%6.2%2.5%0.8%
19.4%14.0%7.9%3.2%1.0%
26.6%8.1%5.0%2.0%0.6%
32.8%3.4%2.1%0.9%0.3%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate14.0%
Model fair odds7.16
Recorded CS odds5.80
Bookmaker implied17.2%
Model-market gap-3.3 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-19.0%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published7 Aug 2026 · 18:23 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.80View odds
Both teams to score — No1.95View odds
Over 2.52.05View odds
Under 2.51.70View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Zlin versus Bohemians 1905 to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 0-2, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 1-1
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy