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Ukrainian Premier League · Monday, 10 August 2026

Karpaty Lviv v LNZ Cherkasy Correct Score Prediction

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MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score0-013.6%
Expected goals1.00 – 1.09Karpaty Lviv / LNZ Cherkasy

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.7%
#20-013.6%
#30-112.2%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
013.6%12.2%7.3%2.7%0.7%
111.1%14.7%7.3%2.7%0.7%
26.2%6.8%3.7%1.3%0.4%
32.1%2.3%1.2%0.4%0.1%
40.5%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate13.6%
Model fair odds7.35
Recorded CS odds5.80
Bookmaker implied17.2%
Model-market gap-3.6 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-21.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published9 Aug 2026 · 18:37 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 0-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Both teams to score — Yes2.15View odds
Both teams to score — No1.65View odds
Over 2.52.62View odds
Under 2.51.40View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Karpaty Lviv versus LNZ Cherkasy to finish 0-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 3-0, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 0-0
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy