South African Premier League · Tuesday, 11 August 2026

Chippa v Richards Bay Correct Score Prediction

Chippa

0-0

Richards Bay

Kick-off: 17:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score0-0

Correct score odds5.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.62BTTSNo 1.62O/UUnder 2.5 1.40FT goals0 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score1-1Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score0-015.1%

Expected goals1.02 – 1.02Chippa / Richards Bay

Most likely scorelines

#11-115.6%

#20-015.1%

#30-111.2%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.1%	11.2%	6.8%	2.3%	0.6%
1	11.2%	15.6%	6.9%	2.3%	0.6%
2	6.8%	6.9%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
3	2.3%	2.3%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate15.1%

Model fair odds6.62

Recorded CS odds5.50

Bookmaker implied18.2%

Model-market gap-3.1 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-16.9%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published10 Aug 2026 · 18:35 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 0-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.80View odds

Draw2.62View odds

Away2.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes2.20View odds

Both teams to score — No1.62View odds

Over 2.52.80View odds

Under 2.51.40View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Chippa versus Richards Bay to finish 0-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 1-1, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 0-0

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy