Prediction summary
Correct score0-0
Correct score odds6.50
ConfidenceMedium
Predicted markets
ResultDraw 2.88↗BTTSNo 1.75↗O/UUnder 2.5 1.55↗FT goals0 goals View odds↗Winning marginDraw View odds↗
Final score2-1Result status: lost
African Women's Cup Of Nations · Thursday, 13 August 2026
South Africa Women v Nigeria Women Correct Score Prediction
Kick-off:
MODEL ESTIMATE
CSM-1.0Score probability model
Published score0-011.3%
Expected goals1.00 – 1.31South Africa Women / Nigeria Women
Most likely scorelines
#11-114.4%
#20-111.6%
#30-011.3%
View score probability matrix
| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
PRICE COMPARISON
CSVI-1.0Model vs market price
Model estimate11.3%
Model fair odds8.85
Recorded CS odds6.50
Bookmaker implied15.4%
Model-market gap-4.1 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-26.6%
This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.
Prediction record
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 0-0
Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable
Available market odds
Why this score?
The model projects South Africa Women versus Nigeria Women to finish 0-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 2-1, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.
→ 0-0
How to interpret this prediction
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy