Belgian 1st Division A · Friday, 14 August 2026

Cercle Brugge v Sint-Truiden Correct Score Prediction

Cercle Brugge

1-1

Sint-Truiden

Kick-off: 18:45 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.30BTTSYes 1.57O/UUnder 2.5 2.05FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score3-3Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-113.2%

Expected goals1.53 – 1.34Cercle Brugge / Sint-Truiden

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.2%

#22-18.9%

#31-27.8%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	6.0%	5.1%	2.3%	0.8%
1	7.1%	13.2%	7.8%	3.5%	1.2%
2	6.7%	8.9%	6.0%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.4%	4.5%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.3%	1.7%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate13.2%

Model fair odds7.58

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-2.2 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-14.3%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published13 Aug 2026 · 15:50 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.25View odds

Draw3.30View odds

Away2.90View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.57View odds

Both teams to score — No2.25View odds

Over 2.51.70View odds

Under 2.52.05View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Cercle Brugge versus Sint-Truiden to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 3-3, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy