Scottish League Cup · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Dundee Utd v Celtic Correct Score Prediction

Dundee Utd

1-1

Celtic

Kick-off: 16:45 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds7.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.75BTTSYes 1.75O/UUnder 2.5 2.00FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score0-4Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-111.7%

Expected goals0.96 – 1.85Dundee Utd / Celtic

Most likely scorelines

#11-111.7%

#20-210.3%

#30-110.1%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	10.1%	10.3%	6.4%	3.0%
1	4.7%	11.7%	9.9%	6.1%	2.8%
2	2.8%	5.1%	4.7%	2.9%	1.4%
3	0.9%	1.6%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate11.7%

Model fair odds8.54

Recorded CS odds7.00

Bookmaker implied14.3%

Model-market gap-2.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-18.0%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published14 Aug 2026 · 20:00 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home5.00View odds

Draw3.75View odds

Away1.62View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.75View odds

Both teams to score — No1.95View odds

Over 2.51.75View odds

Under 2.52.00View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Dundee Utd versus Celtic to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 0-4, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy