Belgian 1st Division A · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Kortrijk v Royal Antwerp Correct Score Prediction

Kortrijk

1-1

Royal Antwerp

Kick-off: 16:15 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.00BTTSYes 1.73O/UUnder 2.5 1.75FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score0-3Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.3%

Expected goals1.29 – 1.25Kortrijk / Royal Antwerp

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.3%

#20-09.5%

#31-08.6%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	8.2%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
1	8.6%	14.3%	7.9%	3.3%	1.0%
2	6.6%	8.2%	5.1%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.8%	3.5%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.3%

Model fair odds6.98

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-2.3 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-14.0%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published14 Aug 2026 · 20:00 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.50View odds

Draw3.00View odds

Away2.62View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.73View odds

Both teams to score — No2.00View odds

Over 2.52.00View odds

Under 2.51.75View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Kortrijk versus Royal Antwerp to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 0-3, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy