Portuguese Primeira Liga · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Viseu v Santa Clara Correct Score Prediction

Viseu

1-1

Santa Clara

Kick-off: 17:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.00BTTSYes 1.85O/UUnder 2.5 1.67FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score0-1Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.7%

Expected goals1.16 – 1.25Viseu / Santa Clara

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.7%

#20-010.6%

#30-19.6%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.6%	9.6%	7.1%	3.0%	0.9%
1	8.7%	14.7%	8.2%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.0%	7.5%	4.7%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.3%	2.9%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.7%

Model fair odds6.81

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-2.0 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-12.0%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published14 Aug 2026 · 20:00 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.90View odds

Draw3.00View odds

Away2.50View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.85View odds

Both teams to score — No1.85View odds

Over 2.52.10View odds

Under 2.51.67View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Viseu versus Santa Clara to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. The recorded final score is 0-1, so the archived prediction can be checked against the outcome.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy