Argentinian Primera Liga Profesional · Monday, 17 August 2026

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v Atletico Tucuman Correct Score Prediction

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

0-0

Atletico Tucuman

Kick-off: 17:45 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score0-0

Correct score odds5.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.70BTTSNo 1.62O/UUnder 2.5 1.36FT goals0 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score0-1Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score0-014.8%

Expected goals0.97 – 1.05Estudiantes Rio Cuarto / Atletico Tucuman

Most likely scorelines

#11-115.1%

#20-014.8%

#30-112.3%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.8%	12.3%	7.3%	2.6%	0.7%
1	11.2%	15.1%	7.1%	2.5%	0.7%
2	6.2%	6.6%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
3	2.0%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.8%

Model fair odds6.75

Recorded CS odds5.00

Bookmaker implied20.0%

Model-market gap-5.2 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-26.0%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published16 Aug 2026 · 19:10 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 0-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.90View odds

Draw2.70View odds

Away2.60View odds

Both teams to score — Yes2.20View odds

Both teams to score — No1.62View odds

Over 2.52.90View odds

Under 2.51.36View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Atlético’s unbeaten Clausura start, three successive defensive shutouts and Leandro Díaz’s form outweigh Estudiantes’ home resistance and continuing problems creating goals.

→ 0-0

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy