Prediction summary
Correct score1-1
Correct score odds6.50
ConfidenceMedium
Predicted markets
ResultDraw 3.50↗BTTSYes 1.67↗O/UUnder 2.5 1.95↗FT goals2 goals View odds↗Winning marginDraw View odds↗
Final score3-0Result status: lost
Slovakian 2 Liga · Monday, 17 August 2026
Slovan Bratislava II v Humenne Correct Score Prediction
Kick-off:
MODEL ESTIMATE
CSM-1.0Score probability model
Published score1-112.0%
Expected goals1.64 – 1.15Slovan Bratislava II / Humenne
Most likely scorelines
#11-112.0%
#21-09.7%
#32-19.5%
View score probability matrix
| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
PRICE COMPARISON
CSVI-1.0Model vs market price
Model estimate12.0%
Model fair odds8.33
Recorded CS odds6.50
Bookmaker implied15.4%
Model-market gap-3.4 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-22.0%
This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.
Prediction record
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1
Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable
Available market odds
Why this score?
Unbeaten promotion pedigree, a competitive return to Division Two and strong H2H history suggest Humenné can match an inconsistent, youthful Slovan reserve side.
→ 1-1
How to interpret this prediction
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy