| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-0
Thailand hold the stronger squad, superior recent record and clear psychological edge over Singapore. Expect controlled possession, sustained pressure and another convincing home victory here.
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy
