UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Drita v Inter Club d'Escaldes Correct Score Prediction

Drita

2-1

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Kick-off: 18:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-1

Correct score odds7.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDrita win 1.62BTTSYes 1.75O/UOver 2.5 1.73FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginDrita by 1 goal View odds

Final score2-2Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-19.9%

Expected goals1.84 – 0.98Drita / Inter Club d'Escaldes

Most likely scorelines

#11-111.4%

#21-010.2%

#32-010.1%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	5.1%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
1	10.2%	11.4%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.1%	9.9%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
3	6.2%	6.1%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%
4	2.9%	2.8%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate9.9%

Model fair odds10.11

Recorded CS odds7.50

Bookmaker implied13.3%

Model-market gap-3.4 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-25.8%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published19 Aug 2026 · 18:46 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.62View odds

Draw3.75View odds

Away4.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.75View odds

Both teams to score — No1.95View odds

Over 2.51.73View odds

Under 2.52.00View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Drita are favoured at home, but Inter arrive confident after a dominant six-goal aggregate win. Both teams should score before Drita edge an open contest.

→ 2-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy