UEFA Europa League Qualification · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Sint-Truiden v Omonia Nicosia Correct Score Prediction

Sint-Truiden

1-1

Omonia Nicosia

Kick-off: 18:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.30BTTSYes 1.73O/UUnder 2.5 1.91FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score1-0Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-112.9%

Expected goals1.66 – 1.08Sint-Truiden / Omonia Nicosia

Most likely scorelines

#11-112.9%

#22-19.6%

#31-09.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	5.7%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.5%	12.9%	6.3%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.9%	9.6%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.9%	5.3%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.2%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate12.9%

Model fair odds7.77

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-2.5 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-16.3%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published19 Aug 2026 · 18:46 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.80View odds

Draw3.30View odds

Away3.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.73View odds

Both teams to score — No2.00View odds

Over 2.51.80View odds

Under 2.51.91View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Sint-Truiden are still searching for early-season rhythm, whereas Omonia arrive with stronger recent results. Home advantage balances the contest, making another tight first-leg draw likely.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy