Ireland Premier Division · Friday, 21 August 2026

Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne Correct Score Prediction

Shamrock Rovers

2-0

Shelbourne

Kick-off: 19:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-0

Correct score odds7.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultShamrock Rovers win 1.80BTTSNo 2.00O/UUnder 2.5 1.85FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginShamrock Rovers by 2 goals View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-09.5%

Expected goals1.66 – 1.01Shamrock Rovers / Shelbourne

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.0%

#21-010.1%

#32-19.6%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	5.6%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
1	10.1%	13.0%	5.9%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.5%	9.6%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
3	5.3%	5.3%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.2%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate9.5%

Model fair odds10.48

Recorded CS odds7.00

Bookmaker implied14.3%

Model-market gap-4.7 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-33.2%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published20 Aug 2026 · 17:16 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.80View odds

Draw3.40View odds

Away4.20View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.75View odds

Both teams to score — No2.00View odds

Over 2.51.85View odds

Under 2.51.85View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Shamrock possess superior depth, title-level consistency and home authority, while Shelbourne often prioritise defensive structure. Sustained pressure should deliver a controlled victory and clean sheet.

→ 2-0

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy