Argentinian Primera Liga Profesional · Saturday, 22 August 2026

Atletico Tucuman v Instituto Correct Score Prediction

Atletico Tucuman

0-0

Instituto

Kick-off: 19:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score0-0

Correct score odds7.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.80BTTSNo 1.70O/UUnder 2.5 1.44FT goals0 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score0-0Result status: won

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score0-013.5%

Expected goals1.09 – 1.04Atletico Tucuman / Instituto

Most likely scorelines

#11-115.0%

#20-013.5%

#31-011.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.5%	10.9%	6.4%	2.2%	0.6%
1	11.5%	15.0%	7.0%	2.4%	0.6%
2	7.1%	7.3%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%
3	2.6%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate13.5%

Model fair odds7.41

Recorded CS odds7.50

Bookmaker implied13.3%

Model-market gap+0.2 pp

Price gap vs model fair price+1.2%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published21 Aug 2026 · 18:37 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 0-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.62View odds

Draw2.80View odds

Away2.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes2.05View odds

Both teams to score — No1.70View odds

Over 2.52.60View odds

Under 2.51.44View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Tucuman’s home structure and physical midfield should keep this tight, while Instituto remain difficult to break down. A low-scoring contest with few chances favours stalemate.

→ 0-0

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy