Argentinian Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 22 August 2026

Deportivo Armenio v Real Pilar Correct Score Prediction

Deportivo Armenio

1-1

Real Pilar

Kick-off: 18:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.80BTTSYes 2.10O/UUnder 2.5 1.44FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score0-1Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.6%

Expected goals1.14 – 1.02Deportivo Armenio / Real Pilar

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.6%

#20-012.8%

#31-012.0%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.8%	10.6%	6.0%	2.0%	0.5%
1	12.0%	14.6%	6.8%	2.3%	0.6%
2	7.5%	7.6%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
3	2.8%	2.9%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.8%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.6%

Model fair odds6.85

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-2.1 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-12.4%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published21 Aug 2026 · 18:37 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.40View odds

Draw2.80View odds

Away2.90View odds

Both teams to score — Yes2.10View odds

Both teams to score — No1.67View odds

Over 2.52.50View odds

Under 2.51.44View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Armenio and Real Pilar look evenly matched, with defensive organisation likely to outweigh attacking ambition. A cautious contest with limited clear chances points towards stalemate.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy