William Hill Scottish Championship · Saturday, 22 August 2026

Raith Rovers v Ayr Correct Score Prediction

Raith Rovers

1-1

Ayr

Kick-off: 14:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.10BTTSYes 1.85O/UUnder 2.5 1.73FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score2-0Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-113.9%

Expected goals1.50 – 1.01Raith Rovers / Ayr

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.9%

#21-010.7%

#30-09.7%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	6.6%	4.1%	1.4%	0.3%
1	10.7%	13.9%	6.2%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.2%	9.2%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.6%	4.6%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate13.9%

Model fair odds7.20

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-2.8 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-16.7%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published21 Aug 2026 · 18:37 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.95View odds

Draw3.10View odds

Away3.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.85View odds

Both teams to score — No1.85View odds

Over 2.52.05View odds

Under 2.51.73View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Raith’s home advantage balances Ayr’s competitive form, with neither side offering overwhelming attacking certainty. A cautious Championship contest could settle into another very low-scoring draw.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy