Kick-off:
| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-2
Copenhagen have scored seventeen across their latest five and remain unbeaten in seven meetings with Viborg. European travel may reduce intensity, but superior quality should prevail.
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy
