International Clubs - UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

LASK Linz v Celtic Glasgow Correct Score Prediction

LASK Linz

1-1

Celtic Glasgow

Kick-off: 19:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.20BTTSYes 1.50O/UUnder 2.5 2.15FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score4-1Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-112.7%

Expected goals1.71 – 1.30LASK Linz / Celtic Glasgow

Most likely scorelines

#11-112.7%

#22-19.4%

#32-07.2%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	4.6%	4.2%	1.8%	0.6%
1	6.6%	12.7%	7.1%	3.1%	1.0%
2	7.2%	9.4%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	4.1%	5.3%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.8%	2.3%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate12.7%

Model fair odds7.84

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-2.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-17.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published24 Aug 2026 · 18:22 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.00View odds

Draw3.20View odds

Away3.25View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.50View odds

Both teams to score — No2.20View odds

Over 2.51.50View odds

Under 2.52.15View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Celtic protect a commanding 3-0 advantage, while LASK have openly stated they must take risks. Celtic's defensive absences make a draw more attractive than another clean sheet.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy