International Clubs - UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Sabah Masazir v Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC Correct Score Prediction

Sabah Masazir

1-1

Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC

Kick-off: 16:45 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.15BTTSYes 1.60O/UUnder 2.5 1.85FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score3-2Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-113.4%

Expected goals1.58 – 1.14Sabah Masazir / Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.4%

#22-19.4%

#31-08.8%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	5.9%	4.3%	1.6%	0.5%
1	8.8%	13.4%	6.7%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.3%	9.4%	5.3%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.0%	2.8%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.7%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate13.4%

Model fair odds7.44

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-1.9 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-12.6%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published24 Aug 2026 · 18:22 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.95View odds

Draw3.15View odds

Away3.45View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.60View odds

Both teams to score — No1.95View odds

Over 2.51.70View odds

Under 2.51.85View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Sabah must chase the tie after losing the first leg, while Hapoel can play more patiently and counter. The tactical situation points towards a competitive score draw.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy