Uzbekistan - Superliga · Wednesday, 26 August 2026

Lokomotiv Tashkent v FC Bunyodkor Correct Score Prediction

Lokomotiv Tashkent

1-1

FC Bunyodkor

Kick-off: 14:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.55BTTSYes 1.75O/UUnder 2.5 1.95FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score4-1Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-111.8%

Expected goals1.86 – 0.94Lokomotiv Tashkent / FC Bunyodkor

Most likely scorelines

#11-111.8%

#22-010.5%

#31-010.1%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	4.5%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.1%	11.8%	5.0%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.5%	9.9%	4.6%	1.5%	0.3%
3	6.5%	6.1%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.0%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate11.8%

Model fair odds8.46

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-4.8 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-29.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published25 Aug 2026 · 17:22 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.55View odds

Draw3.55View odds

Away5.15View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.75View odds

Both teams to score — No1.80View odds

Over 2.51.60View odds

Under 2.51.95View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The sides appear closely matched and Uzbek league games between balanced teams often remain tight. Home advantage offsets Bunyodkor's quality, pointing towards a score draw.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy