International Clubs - UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, 26 August 2026

NK Celje v SK Slovan Bratislava Correct Score Prediction

NK Celje

1-1

SK Slovan Bratislava

Kick-off: 19:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.80BTTSYes 1.70O/UUnder 2.5 1.60FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score1-1Result status: won

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-115.1%

Expected goals1.28 – 1.20NK Celje / SK Slovan Bratislava

Most likely scorelines

#11-115.1%

#20-010.7%

#31-08.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	7.7%	6.0%	2.4%	0.7%
1	8.5%	15.1%	7.7%	3.1%	0.9%
2	6.9%	8.3%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.0%	3.5%	2.1%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate15.1%

Model fair odds6.61

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-0.2 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-1.6%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published25 Aug 2026 · 17:22 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.45View odds

Draw2.80View odds

Away2.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.70View odds

Both teams to score — No1.85View odds

Over 2.51.95View odds

Under 2.51.60View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Celje are dangerous at home while Slovan bring greater European experience. Neither side has a decisive enough edge to justify a strong directional call, making 1-1 attractive.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy