International Clubs - UEFA Conference League · Thursday, 27 August 2026

FK Jablonec v Glasgow Rangers Correct Score Prediction

FK Jablonec

1-1

Glasgow Rangers

Kick-off: 16:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.95BTTSYes 1.60O/UUnder 2.5 1.80FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score1-0Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.4%

Expected goals1.29 – 1.37FK Jablonec / Glasgow Rangers

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.4%

#20-09.0%

#31-28.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	7.5%	6.6%	3.0%	1.0%
1	7.0%	14.4%	8.5%	3.9%	1.3%
2	5.8%	8.0%	5.5%	2.5%	0.9%
3	2.5%	3.4%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.8%	1.1%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.4%

Model fair odds6.95

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-1.0 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-6.5%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published26 Aug 2026 · 18:56 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.70View odds

Draw2.95View odds

Away2.40View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.60View odds

Both teams to score — No2.00View odds

Over 2.51.75View odds

Under 2.51.80View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Rangers protect a 1-0 first-leg lead and can play with more control. Jablonec's strong recent form should create pressure, but Rangers have enough quality to avoid defeat.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy