International Clubs - UEFA Conference League · Thursday, 27 August 2026

Hibernian FC v KAA Gent Correct Score Prediction

Hibernian FC

1-1

KAA Gent

Kick-off: 19:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.80BTTSYes 1.80O/UUnder 2.5 1.55FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score2-3Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-115.0%

Expected goals1.18 – 1.18Hibernian FC / KAA Gent

Most likely scorelines

#11-115.0%

#20-011.3%

#30-19.3%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	9.3%	6.6%	2.6%	0.8%
1	9.3%	15.0%	7.8%	3.1%	0.9%
2	6.6%	7.8%	4.6%	1.8%	0.5%
3	2.6%	3.1%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.8%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate15.0%

Model fair odds6.67

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-0.4 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-2.6%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published26 Aug 2026 · 18:56 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.60View odds

Draw2.80View odds

Away2.60View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.80View odds

Both teams to score — No1.75View odds

Over 2.52.05View odds

Under 2.51.55View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The first leg finished 0-0 and Hibs defended impressively. Easter Road raises their attacking threat, but Gent still possess enough quality to score and keep the tie balanced.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy