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International Clubs - UEFA Conference League · Thursday, 27 August 2026

Inter Club de Escaldes v FC Drita Correct Score Prediction

Kick-off:

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score1-114.0%
Expected goals1.57 – 1.15Inter Club de Escaldes / FC Drita

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.0%
#22-19.3%
#30-08.7%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
08.7%5.5%4.3%1.7%0.5%
18.2%14.0%6.8%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.3%5.4%2.1%0.6%
34.3%4.9%2.8%1.1%0.3%
41.7%1.9%1.1%0.4%0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate14.0%
Model fair odds7.15
Recorded CS odds6.00
Bookmaker implied16.7%
Model-market gap-2.7 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-16.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published26 Aug 2026 · 18:56 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.60View odds
Both teams to score — No1.95View odds
Over 2.51.70View odds
Under 2.51.85View odds

Why this score?

Neither side carries a large enough quality advantage to justify an aggressive scoreline. Home conditions help Inter, while Drita's European experience should earn them a goal.

→ 1-1
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy