International Clubs - UEFA Conference League · Thursday, 27 August 2026

SK Brann v PAOK Thessaloniki Correct Score Prediction

SK Brann

1-1

PAOK Thessaloniki

Kick-off: 17:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.90BTTSYes 1.65O/UUnder 2.5 1.75FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score3-2Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.4%

Expected goals1.32 – 1.37SK Brann / PAOK Thessaloniki

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.4%

#20-08.9%

#31-28.4%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	7.2%	6.4%	2.9%	1.0%
1	6.9%	14.4%	8.4%	3.9%	1.3%
2	5.9%	8.1%	5.5%	2.5%	0.9%
3	2.6%	3.5%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.8%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.4%

Model fair odds6.95

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-1.0 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-6.5%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published26 Aug 2026 · 18:56 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.65View odds

Draw2.90View odds

Away2.50View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.65View odds

Both teams to score — No1.95View odds

Over 2.51.60View odds

Under 2.51.75View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Brann's home intensity is significant, but PAOK bring greater European experience and tactical control. Both sides have enough attacking quality to score without a clear winner.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy