Welsh Premier League · Friday, 28 August 2026

Cardiff Met Uni v Briton Ferry Correct Score Prediction

Cardiff Met Uni

1-1

Briton Ferry

Kick-off: 18:45 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.30BTTSYes 1.55O/UUnder 2.5 2.10FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

Final score3-0Result status: lost

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-113.0%

Expected goals1.59 – 1.32Cardiff Met Uni / Briton Ferry

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.0%

#22-19.1%

#31-27.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	5.6%	4.7%	2.1%	0.7%
1	7.1%	13.0%	7.5%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.9%	9.1%	6.0%	2.6%	0.9%
3	3.7%	4.8%	3.2%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.5%	1.9%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate13.0%

Model fair odds7.68

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-2.4 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-15.4%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published27 Aug 2026 · 22:31 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.15View odds

Draw3.30View odds

Away3.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.55View odds

Both teams to score — No2.38View odds

Over 2.51.67View odds

Under 2.52.10View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

Cardiff Met started well before consecutive defeats, while Briton Ferry have historically caused them problems. Four Briton Ferry wins in seven recent H2Hs and frequent BTTS make 1-1 attractive.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy