France have won both Nations League matches 1-0 but are without Kylian Mbappe, while Italy rebounded from defeat to Belgium by winning 4-1 in Turkiye. France remain strong favourites, but Italy's renewed attacking threat makes 2-1 preferable to an automatic clean sheet.
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy
