Poland are winless in five, but Romania have lost both Nations League matches and conceded six goals. Poland's home edge is meaningful, while Romania still carry a scoring route. The post-30 September ceiling adjustment makes 2-1 preferable to 1-0.
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How to interpret this prediction
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
